Russ Cohen

Billionaire Investor Stanley Druckenmiller Just Sold Broadcom and Microsoft and Piled Into These "Magnificent Seven" Stocks Instead

Very few investors can claim to be in the same league as Warren Buffett, arguably the greatest investor ever. But billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller is one of them. Druckenmiller worked as a fund manager for George Soros, another legendary investor, and he’s never posted a year in the red, while putting up impressive returns over decades of investing. Today, Druckenmiller still invests through his own fund, the Duquesne Family Office. All funds with at least $100 million in assets under management must file 13F forms within 45 days of the end of each calendar quarter, which recently occurred for the fourth quarter of 2024 on Feb. 14. The 13F discloses what stocks funds held at the end of each quarter. In the fourth quarter, Duquesne revealed that it exited its positions in Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and piled into these three “Magnificent Seven” stocks instead.

Selling Broadcom and Microsoft

According to Duquesne’s 13F, the fund sold its nearly 240,000 shares of Broadcom and its nearly 43,100 shares of Microsoft. Broadcom had a superb year in 2024, with its stock rising nearly 108%, while Microsoft underperformed the broader market, only posting a 12% gain.

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Druckenmiller has been in and out of Broadcom since 2023. He purchased a new stake in the company in the third quarter of 2023 and then sold in the following quarter. He repeated this trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. Druckenmiller looks to have done OK on his trades with Broadcom, selling for higher average prices than he bought the stock for with gains in the 9% to 16% range based on his average purchase and sale prices.

Broadcom has captivated the market with its ability to make custom chips for companies that can be used to carry out specific artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. For instance, one of Broadcom’s clients is Meta Platforms. The two teamed up to build the Meta Training and Inference Accelerator chip. Meta plans to pour hundreds of billions of dollars into AI technology. Many analysts and investors also think Broadcom has secured a relationship with OpenAI.

Druckenmiller has been investing in and trading Microsoft for over a decade and has made 41 transactions with the stock since 2014. He once again took a new stake in Microsoft in early 2023 and increased his stake for several consecutive quarters. However, Druckenmiller began selling the position in the second quarter of 2024 and exited the position in the fourth quarter.

Microsoft, a member of the Magnificent Seven, failed to take advantage of the AI trade in 2024, as investors questioned the company’s AI strategy and ability to make money off of AI. The company has also had some trouble over the last year hitting its guidance. However, it’s not unusual for Duquesne to be in and out of stocks. Druckenmiller likes tech and AI but is also vigilant on valuations and will sell any stock if he thinks it’s too expensive.

See also  <!DOCTYPE html><html><head><title>The Impact of Trump's Policies on the Magnificent Seven Stocks</title></head><body><h2>Trump's Potential Impact on the Magnificent Seven Companies</h2><p>In the annals of American history, only one former president has managed to secure reelection after losing the first term - Grover Cleveland in 1892, a solitary figure in this political parable. Fast forward to the present, where former President Donald Trump is in a neck-and-neck race with Vice President Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential throne. Should Trump emerge victorious, his policy decisions could cast a long shadow on the fortunes of the revered "Magnificent Seven" companies that include tech behemoths like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. An intriguing narrative unfolds as investors weigh their options in this high-stakes drama.</p><img alt="Former President Donald Trump." src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F793603%2Ftrump-at-podium-image-source-official-white-house-photo-by-shealah-craighead.webp" style="width: 50%;"><p class="caption">Former President Donald Trump. Image source: Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead.</p><h2>Assessing Trump's Proposals and Their Ramifications</h2><p>A trio of Trump's propositions loom large over the future of the Magnificent Seven, with his corporate tax cut scheme taking center stage. If re-elected, Trump vows to slice the federal corporate tax rate from the current 21% to a paltry 15%, a move that could recalibrate the financial landscape for these titans of industry. Tariffs are another cornerstone of his economic blueprint, with up to 20% levies on imports and a spotlight on China evident in his rhetoric. Moreover, Trump's zeal for deregulation, epitomized by a promise to scrap onerous rules at a 10:1 ratio against new regulations, could create seismic shifts, especially around artificial intelligence governance.</p><h2>Forecasting the Corporate Weather for the Magnificent Seven</h2><p>While a reduced tax burden might sound like sweet music to the ears of the Magnificent Seven, a deeper dive reveals a nuanced backdrop. Unveiling the effective tax rates paid by these giants in the last fiscal year paints a revealing picture. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia all operate below the current 21% threshold, with Tesla even benefiting from a 50% tax boon, making the tax cut impact a mixed bag of fortunes.</p><p>Trump's tariff barrage could rattle the foundations of reliant companies, stirring debates on cost pass-through to consumers and the resultant sales pendulum. Apple's global supply chain stands vulnerable to the tariff storm, though players like Alphabet and Meta, deriving significant revenue from services, might weather the storm better.</p><p>The shadow of deregulation could sway fortunes in the cloudy skies of AI governance. Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Nvidia, and to a lesser extent, Meta and Tesla, stand to gain from relaxed regulations, shaping a turbulent yet potentially rewarding horizon.</p><p>Trump's pointed criticism of Alphabet and Meta, juxtaposed with his favorable stance towards Microsoft and Nvidia, sets the stage for a strategic showdown where winners and losers are yet to emerge from the fog of political warfare.</p><h2>Identifying the Ripest Pick among the Magnificent Seven</h2><p>As the curtain rises on the looming political drama, the quest for the choicest investment amidst the Magnificent Seven intensifies. Microsoft and Nvidia emerge as prime contenders in this investment battleground. While Microsoft could reap the fruits of Trump's tax cuts due to its high tax rate and navigate the tariff headwinds, Nvidia's growth potential offers a tantalizing allure, promising the elixir of prosperity beyond the mirage of political turbulence. In the tumultuous landscape of Trumpian economics, the astute investor's choice between these icons could unfold as a pivotal journey towards prosperity.</p></body></html><html> <head> <title>Investment Insights: Assessing the Timing of Lucrative Opportunities</title> </head> <body> Investment Insights: Assessing the Timing of Lucrative Opportunities

Scooping up other companies of the Mag Seven

Despite selling Microsoft and Broadcom, Druckenmiller scooped up shares in other big tech and AI stocks in the fourth quarter including:

Now, the 13F filing shows that Druckenmiller purchased these stocks in the fourth quarter but it doesn’t say exactly when. If he purchased them prior to President Donald Trump’s election victory on Nov. 5, he’s likely done quite well.

TSLA Chart

TSLA data by YCharts

I think there is a good chance that Druckenmiller did get the timing right because he said publicly a few weeks before the election that the market had been pricing in a Trump victory. Given where valuations trade and the stock’s recent rally, I could see Druckenmiller potentially selling Tesla during this quarter.

TSLA PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

TSLA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts

Amazon and Google make a lot more sense for Druckenmiller because these stocks that are not solely reliant on AI. Amazon makes a lot of revenue from its software business and retail and subscription sales, while many analysts believe Google has attractive AI assets that the company can unlock value from. Google’s stock has also struggled due to the U.S. Department of Justice’s lawsuit against the company, which many believe will eventually blow over.

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Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Bram Berkowitz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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