Russ Cohen

Is Colgate-Palmolive Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?

With a market cap of around $77 billion, New York-based Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) is a global leader in the oral care and hygiene market, producing and distributing household, healthcare, and personal care products. Its business is structured into two segments: Oral, Personal, and Home Care, which includes brands like Colgate, Palmolive, and Softsoap; and Pet Nutrition, managed under Hill’s Pet Nutrition. 

Companies valued at $10 billion or more are generally labeled as “large-cap” stocks, and Colgate-Palmolive fits this criterion perfectly. CL focuses on innovation in core categories, exploring growth in adjacent markets, and expanding into new channels, emphasizing its Naturals range to meet rising consumer demand for organic ingredients. It markets its products worldwide through traditional and eCommerce retailers, veterinarians, and wholesalers.

However, despite its strong market position, the consumer products maker is down 13.8% from its 52-week high of $109.30, reached in September. Over the past three months, the stock has declined 12.6%, underperforming the broader Nasdaq Composite’s ($NASX) nearly 19% return in the same period.

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In the long term, CL has increased 18.2% on a YTD basis, lagging behind NASX’s 32.3% gain. Moreover, CL’s shares have returned 21.6% over the past 52 weeks, compared to NASX’s 40.4% gain over the same time frame.

CL had been trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since last year but fell below the 50-day moving average from October. It has also remained below the 200-day moving average since November, with some recent fluctuations.

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Despite reporting better-than-expected Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $5 billion, Colgate-Palmolive shares fell 4.1% on Oct. 25 due to concerns about ongoing challenges. Currency headwinds weighed on sales growth, including a 4.4% negative impact from Argentina and Africa/Eurasia. North America’s net sales declined 2.1%, driven by pricing pressures and a shift toward mid-tier products, raising concerns about demand trends in a key market. Additionally, SG&A expenses rose 8.5% year-over-year, exceeding expectations and heightening worries about margin pressures.

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Embracing artificial intelligence (AI) stocks for long-term investment has been akin to hunting for treasure in the ever-shifting tides of the stock market. The AI explosion, heralded by OpenAI's ChatGPT meteoric rise, punctuated an otherwise humdrum financial landscape in 2023.

#1. Microsoft: A Titan in the AI Realm

Microsoft (MSFT), with its colossal $3.3 trillion valuation, has carved a formidable niche in the AI domain, propelling its stock to unparalleled heights in recent times. The company's strategic investments in groundbreaking technologies, particularly through its partnership with OpenAI, have set ablaze Wall Street with awe and admiration.

Reaping the rewards of its AI forays, Microsoft witnessed a robust 34.2% surge in its stock value over the past year, eclipsing the S&P 500 Index's 25.2% ascent in the same period.

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Microsoft's pioneering efforts in embedding AI across its software suite, coupled with product innovations like Copilot, signify just the tip of the iceberg in its AI odyssey.

Glimpsing into Microsoft's Financial Fortitude

The company's recent fiscal Q3 earnings report, showcasing a 17% year-over-year revenue surge to $61.8 billion, coupled with a 19.85% rise in net profit to $21.9 billion, underscores the potency of its AI-driven endeavors. Microsoft's bullish outlook, underscored by a $2.2 billion pledge towards cloud and AI ventures in Malaysia, heralds a new era of expansion and prosperity.

Wall Street's Affirmation

Market analysts have bestowed Microsoft stock with a "strong buy" rating, endorsing a mean price target of $492.71, indicative of a promising 10% upside potential.

Source: www.barchart.com #2. Amazon: The Stealthy AI Powerhouse

Amazon (AMZN), the tech behemoth valued at $1.9 trillion, has stealthily elevated its AI pursuits under the shadow of its acclaimed Amazon Web Services (AWS). As AWS continues its meteoric rise, the untapped potential of Amazon's AI initiatives looms large on the horizon, promising to tantalize investors with incremental sales prospects.

Amazon's strategic $4 billion investment in Anthropic AI, home to the disruptive Claude AI chatbot, accentuates the transformative power of AI within its service portfolio. The prowess of Claude AI, touted to surpass industry benchmarks, heralds a new chapter in Amazon's service repertoire, especially within AWS.

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Amazon's financial prowess was exemplified by a stellar Q1 performance, showcasing a 13% revenue surge to $143.3 billion and an astounding 228% year-over-year jump in net income to $10.4 billion.

Traded at 41x forward earnings, Amazon's relentless focus on its burgeoning AI prospects underscores its allure as a compelling investment avenue.

Celebrated on Wall Street

Wall Street echoes a chorus of "strong buy" sentiments for Amazon, with a mean price target of $221.09, hinting at an enticing 18% growth potential.

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Nevertheless, rival Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) has underperformed CL, increasing 10% over the past 52 weeks and 10.9% on a YTD basis. 

Despite CL’s underperformance relative to the Nasdaq over the past year, analysts are moderately optimistic, with a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from 22 analysts. The mean price target of $106.09 suggests a 12.6% upside potential from current levels. 

On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here. More news from Barchart